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st: Re: Probability threshold for inclusion in ZINB count model
From 
 
Jeremy Bowling <[email protected]> 
To 
 
<[email protected]> 
Subject 
 
st: Re: Probability threshold for inclusion in ZINB count model 
Date 
 
Sat, 25 Feb 2012 15:23:28 -0600 
According to http://www.ats.ucla.edu/stat/stata/output/Stata_zinb.htm, the 
"negative binomial model is generated predicting the counts for those 
[observations] who are not certain zeros."  Since the inflation/logit model 
determines whether or not an observation is a certain zero by probability, 
is there a probability threshold by which the observations are dropped? 
Or... are each unique observations' probabilities included in the negative 
binomial equation to control for the probability of being a certain zero, 
similar to when predicted counts are created in which probabilities are 
included in the equation.  Are observations dropped due to meeting a certain 
zero probability threshold, or is the negative binomial (count model) 
altered in some way to account for the probability that an observation may 
be a certain zero?  If there is a probability threshold and dropped 
observations in the count model, I would like to know.  If not, by what 
process does the zinb count model control for an observation being in the 
certain zero group?
-----Original Message----- 
From: Nick Cox
Sent: Saturday, February 25, 2012 4:46 AM
To: [email protected]
Subject: Re: st: Probability threshold for inclusion in ZINB count model
Perhaps you explain what threshold you expect there to be on relation
to the manual entry on -zinb- or expand on how you think -zinb- should
use such a threshold.
Nick
On 25 Feb 2012, at 05:05, Jeremy Bowling <[email protected]>
wrote:
I am having a hard time finding the probability threshold that zinb  uses 
to include/limit observations in the count model.  Is there a  set 
probability threshold?  If not how do I find the threshold?
After running zinb for a number of count models, I was seeking to  run a 
simple logit model by dichotomizing my dv instead of having a  count.  I 
would like to limit my observations by excluding those  that would be in 
the certain zero group.  Of course the significance  of the logit 
coefficients would be affected by the threshold I set  (which observations 
are included). I would like to use the logit  model to seek not what 
causes multiple occurrences (count) but what  factors lead to the 
likelihood of an occurrence, from zero to one,  for those observations not 
in the certain zero group.
If there is not a set probability threshold or it can not be found,  what 
would be the best probability to use?  50% cutoff? Mean  probability
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