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Re: st: Standard error of a ratio of two random variables


From   Sergiy Radyakin <[email protected]>
To   [email protected]
Subject   Re: st: Standard error of a ratio of two random variables
Date   Tue, 13 Jan 2009 11:35:59 -0500

Dear All,

thank you for your responses. Austin's solution to remove rho helped a
lot, but I am a bit confused with the other alternative that he
proposed, namely "keep the rho, but divide by N". What would N be in
the case, where the mean of X is be computed on one domain, and mean
of Y on another? (e.g. because of the missings). For example, X is
income, and Y is family size, and I were interested in per capita
income, but income was less often reported than family size. My
observation is that Stata stops with error "no observations" in case
when domains of X and Y do not overlap at all, but there is nothing in
the formula that prevents me from computing (approx) moments of X/Y in
this case. Should I restrict computations to the common domain where
both X and Y are not missing for some reason?

Alan, thank you for the comments regarding not existance of moments in
case the the X and Y are N(0,s2). In my case the expectations of X and
Y are guaranteed to be non-zero as they are the numbers of people with
non-exotic characteristics (like attending primary school).

Thank you,
    Sergiy Radyakin



On Tue, Jan 13, 2009 at 10:56 AM, Stas Kolenikov <[email protected]> wrote:
> The variance of the ratio of two normals does not exist if the
> denominator has a mean of zero. Then yes we get a Cauchy distribution
> with all the ugly properties. If the mean is not zero, you are not
> dividing by zero very often, although I don't really know whether that
> distribution of that ratio is generally known.
>
> Back to Sergiy's question -- to gauge the differences between the
> variance estimation methods, you can also try -svy, jackknife- and see
> what it produces; the differences on -sysuse auto- dataset should be
> somewhere in the fourth or fifth decimal point. But I think Austin
> nailed down the analytical problem with an extra `rho'.
>
> Of course you are shooting sparrows with a cannon -- you probably
> could've achieved anything you needed using -nlcom-.
>
> On 1/13/09, Feiveson, Alan H. (JSC-SK311) <[email protected]> wrote:
>> It should also be noted that this delta method is just an approximation
>>  - so it is not surprising that it might disagree with a simulaiton by
>>  10% or more. Also, technically the variance of a ratio of two normally
>>  distributed random variables doesn't even exist! Therefore even a
>>  simulation, if carried out long enough would produce arbitarily high
>>  "SE" values. The saving grace is that if the variance of the denominator
>>  is much smaller than the mean, we can "get away" with these
>>  approximations for practical usage.
>>
>>  Al Feiveson
>>
>>
>>  -----Original Message-----
>>  From: [email protected]
>>  [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Jeph Herrin
>>  Sent: Tuesday, January 13, 2009 7:11 AM
>>  To: [email protected]
>>  Subject: Re: st: Standard error of a ratio of two random variables
>>
>>
>>  For what it's worth, a simulation may give the most accurate answer:
>>
>>    quietly ci X
>>    local mux=r(mean)
>>    local sex=r(se)
>>    quietly ci Y
>>    local muy=r(mean)
>>    local sey=r(se)
>>    corr X Y
>>    local rho=r(rho)
>>    matrix b= (`mux' \ `muy')
>>    matrix V= (1, `rho' \ `rho', 1)
>>    matrix sd =(`sex' \ `sey')
>>
>>    clear
>>    set obs 100000
>>    drawnorm X Y, means(b) corr(V) sds(sd)
>>    gen ratio=X/Y
>>    sum ratio
>>
>>  The SD of the variable -ratio- should be the SE of X/Y.
>>
>>  Jeph
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>  Sergiy Radyakin wrote:
>>  > Dear All,
>>  >
>>  >    I need to find a standard error of Z a ratio of two random
>>  > variables X and Y: Z=X/Y, where the means and SEs for X and Y are
>>  > known, as well as their corr coefficient. (In my particular case X and
>>
>>  > Y are numbers of people that have such and such characteristics). I am
>>
>>  > using delta-method according to [
>>  > http://www.math.umt.edu/patterson/549/Delta.pdf ] (see page 2(38)). I
>>  > then use svy:ratio to check my results and they don't match.  I wonder
>>
>>  > if I am doing something wrong, or is it any kind of precision-related
>>  > problem (the difference is about 7%, i.e. 1.7959 vs. 1.6795), or is my
>>
>>  > check simply wrong and not applicable in this case.
>>  >
>>  >    I would appreciate if someone could look into the code and let me
>>  > know why the results are different.
>>  >
>>  > Thank you,
>>  >     Sergiy Radyakin
>>  >
>>  > Below is a do file that one can Ctrl+C/Ctrl+V to Stata's command line:
>>  >
>>  > **** BEGIN OF RV_RATIO.DO ****
>>  > sysuse auto, clear
>>  > generate byte www=1
>>  > svyset [pw=www]
>>  >
>>  > capture program drop st_error_of_ratio program define
>>  > st_error_of_ratio, rclass
>>  >       syntax varlist(min=2 max=2)
>>  >       svy: mean `varlist'
>>  >       matrix B=e(b)
>>  >       local mux=B[1,1]
>>  >       local muy=B[1,2]
>>  >       matrix V=e(V)
>>  >       local sigma2x=V[1,1]
>>  >       local sigma2y=V[2,2]
>>  >       local sigmax_sigmay=V[1,2]
>>  >              svyset
>>  >       corr `varlist' [aw`=r(wexp)']
>>  >       local rho=r(rho)
>>  >       return scalar se = sqrt((`mux')^2*`sigma2y'/(`muy')^4 +
>>  > `sigma2x'/(`muy')^2 - 2*`mux'/(`muy')^3*`rho'*`sigmax_sigmay')
>>  > end
>>  >       st_error_of_ratio price length
>>  >              display as text "Estimated SE=" as result r(se)
>>  >       svy: ratio price / length
>>  > **** END OF RV_RATIO.DO ****
>>  > *
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>>  >
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>
>
> --
> Stas Kolenikov, also found at http://stas.kolenikov.name
> Small print: I use this email account for mailing lists only.
> *
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>
*
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