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From |
[email protected] (Jeff Pitblado, StataCorp LP) |

To |
[email protected] |

Subject |
Re: st: svy proportion - confidence intervals |

Date |
Wed, 05 Sep 2007 17:54:46 -0500 |

Hillel Alpert <[email protected]> asks about confidence intervals from the -svy: proportion- command: > Could someone advise, please? The confidence intervals with svy: proportion > (using Stata 10) do not have the heading "Binomial Wald" as do the examples > in the Survey manual (Stata 9) Are they binomial? If not, can the binomial > confidence intervals be generated with survey proportions? In Stata 10, we removed the 'Binomial Wald' heading from -proportion- and -svy: proportion- output because it was mislabeling how the confidence intervals (CIs) were being computed. -proportion- and -svy: proportion- compute the CIs using the following formula phat +- t_value * sehat(phat) where phat is the estimated proportion, t_value is the critical value (associated with the level of confidence), and sehat(phat) is the estimated standard error of phat. 'Binomial Wald' CIs are reported by the -ci- command, when the options -binomial- and -wald- are both specified. These CIs are computed using the following formula phat +- z_value * sehat(phat) The distinction between the above two formula is the use of the standard normal distribution for the critical value instead of Student's t. Another distinction between -svy: proportion- and -ci- is how sehat(phat) is computed. The standard error of a sample proportion from data collected using a simple random sample design (with replacement or with a very small sampling fraction), the default assumption for the -ci- command, is computed using sehat(phat) = sqrt(phat(1-path)/N) where N is the number of observations. With a little algebra, one can show that the usual formula for the standard error of the sample mean (of which phat is a special case, being the sample mean of 0,1 values) results in the same value. Thus -ci- and -proportion- (no need for -svy:- for this type of SRS design) compute and report the same value for the estimated standard error of the sample proportion. This property does not hold for other survey designs. In that case, one is better off correctly -svyset-ting their data and using -svy: proportion-. The last section of -[SVY] variance estimation-, titled 'Confidence intervals', briefly discusses (with references) why the -svy- prefix uses the t distribution for computing CIs. Korn and Graubard (1999) (pp. 64-68) propose some alternative methods for computing CIs for the sample proportion when successes are rare. Unfortunately, none of these methods are implemented in -svy: proportion-. Reference: Korn, E.L. and B.I. Graubard. 1999. Analysis of Health Surveys. New York: Wiley. --Jeff Pitblado [email protected] * * For searches and help try: * http://www.stata.com/support/faqs/res/findit.html * http://www.stata.com/support/statalist/faq * http://www.ats.ucla.edu/stat/stata/

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