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st: interpret xtabond one-step results


From   "Jing Tong" <[email protected]>
To   [email protected]
Subject   st: interpret xtabond one-step results
Date   Fri, 10 Aug 2007 12:27:40 -0700 (PDT)

Dear Stata users

Could anyone please help me on the interpretation of the one-step results 
as shown in the following example:

1)	how to report the coefficients and Z-values of the independent 
variables? I mean, instead of reporting as Wit and Wi(t-1) separately, 
how to get the coefficient and Z-value for W itself? And how to tell the 
significance level for W, if (P>|z|) for D1 is 0.000 (significant at 1% 
level) while (P>|z|) for LD is 0.100 (significant at 10% level)? 
2)	For Sargan test of over-identifying restrictions, is the 
(prob>chi2) the probability of accepting the null hypotheses of valid 
instruments? In this example, it seems to show the strong evidence 
against the null. Does it mean the specification is not valid at all?
3)	For AR(1) and AR(2) at the bottom of the output, is the (pr>z) 
the probability of accepting the null hypotheses of no first-order and 
second-order serial correlation? If the residuals are not serially 
correlated, should there be evidence of significant negative first-order 
serial correlation (i.e., pr>z close to 0) and not rejecting the null of 
no second-order serial correlation (i.e., pr>z close to 1) ?


. xtabond n l(0/1).w k , lags(2)

Arellano-Bond dynamic panel data                Number of obs      
=       611
Group variable (i): id                          Number of groups   
=       140

                                                Wald chi2(5)       =    
350.58

Time variable (t): year                         min number of obs  
=         4
                                                max number of obs  
=         6
                                                mean number of obs =  
4.364286

One-step results
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
----
n            |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. 
Interval]
-------------+------------------------------------------------------------
----
n            |
          LD |   .3751428   .1050691     3.57   
0.000     .1692112    .5810745
         L2D |  -.0822723   .0422479    -1.95   0.051    -
.1650766     .000532
w            |
          D1 |  -.4754038   .0564188    -8.43   0.000    -.5859825    -
.364825
          LD |    .208237   .0832401     2.50   
0.012     .0450894    .3713847
k            |
          D1 |   .3802498   .0352074    10.80   
0.000     .3112446     .449255
_cons        |  -.0178497   .0041618    -4.29   0.000    -.0260068   -
.0096926
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
----
Sargan test of over-identifying restrictions:     
         chi2(25) =    97.07      Prob > chi2 = 0.0000

Arellano-Bond test that average autocovariance in residuals of order 1 is 
0:
         H0: no autocorrelation   z =  -3.02   Pr > z = 0.0026
Arellano-Bond test that average autocovariance in residuals of order 2 is 
0:
         H0: no autocorrelation   z =  -0.01   Pr > z = 0.9892


Thank you very much for your help!

- Jing 

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