# st: Re: Predicted probabilities after xt commands

 From "Scott Merryman" To Subject st: Re: Predicted probabilities after xt commands Date Sun, 28 Sep 2003 18:52:42 -0500

```----- Original Message -----
From: "Daniel, Gregory" <GDaniel@healthcore.com>
To: <statalist@hsphsun2.harvard.edu>
Sent: Thursday, September 25, 2003 9:09 AM
Subject: st: Predicted probabilities after xt commands

> Dear Statalist:
>
> Does anyone know how to obtain predicted probabilities, while holding
> covariates constant at their means (or specified values), after -xtlogit- or
> -xtgee-?  I am aware that -prvalue- and -adjust- work for glm and logistic
> commands, but these do not work for xt commands.
>
> Thanks,
>
> Greg Daniel

You could change the value of the covariates to their means and then use
predict.

Example:

. use http://www.stata-press.com/data/r8/union.dta
(NLS Women 14-24 in 1968)

. xtlogit union age, i(id) nolog

Random-effects logistic regression              Number of obs      =     26200
Group variable (i): idcode                      Number of groups   =      4434

Random effects u_i ~ Gaussian                   Obs per group: min =         1
avg =       5.9
max =        12

Wald chi2(1)       =     26.09
Log likelihood  = -10659.783                    Prob > chi2        =    0.0000

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
union |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
age |   .0183831   .0035993     5.11   0.000     .0113286    .0254377
_cons |   -2.91907   .1216329   -24.00   0.000    -3.157466   -2.680674
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
/lnsig2u |   1.725365   .0423218                      1.642415    1.808314
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
sigma_u |   2.369508   .0501409                      2.273244    2.469849
rho |    .630536   .0098593                       .611012    .6496421
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Likelihood-ratio test of rho=0: chibar2(01) =  6382.86 Prob >= chibar2 = 0.000

. preserve

. egen mean = mean(age)

. replace age = mean
age was byte now float

. predict prob, pu0

. tab prob

Pr(union=1 |
assuming |
u_i=0) |      Freq.     Percent        Cum.
------------+-----------------------------------
.0863033 |     26,200      100.00      100.00
------------+-----------------------------------
Total |     26,200      100.00

. restore

Hope this helps,
Scott

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```