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From |
"Martin Weiss" <martin.weiss1@gmx.de> |

To |
<statalist@hsphsun2.harvard.edu> |

Subject |
AW: st: Economic Significance and Logged Independent Variables |

Date |
Wed, 8 Jul 2009 15:54:24 +0200 |

<> " Also, I doubt Debt/Total Assets is really constrained to lie in [0,1], since outstanding debt can exceed assets" It could for a short period of time, but it would imply negative equity and certainly then prompt creditors to close down the thing, so I would say this is the least of Erasmo`s problems... HTH Martin -----Ursprüngliche Nachricht----- Von: owner-statalist@hsphsun2.harvard.edu [mailto:owner-statalist@hsphsun2.harvard.edu] Im Auftrag von Austin Nichols Gesendet: Mittwoch, 8. Juli 2009 15:42 An: statalist@hsphsun2.harvard.edu Betreff: Re: st: Economic Significance and Logged Independent Variables Erasmo Giambona <e.giambona@gmail.com> : The change in coefficients is common in highly skewed variables, but you have much larger problems. For starters, you are explaining y/x as a function of x, which leads to division bias (see e.g. Borjas, 1980). Also, I doubt Debt/Total Assets is really constrained to lie in [0,1], since outstanding debt can exceed assets (also, how do you count loans from the firm, which could count as negative debt). Also, if your dependent variable is constrained to the unit interval, linear regression is almost certainly inappropriate; see e.g. http://www.stata.com/support/faqs/stat/logit.html or -ssc inst locpr- for a graphing tool to see the likely functional form in a cross-section; for the panel case, see http://www.stata.com/meeting/snasug08/abstracts.html#wooldridge More importantly, what is the direction of a causal effect here? If a firm issues bonds worth $100, they have $100 more debt and $100 cash on hand, increasing y/x (as long as y/x<1 as you claim) and increasing x, leading to a positive correlation. But why are they issuing debt? It's not because they have higher assets (that is an outcome as well), it's because the marginal value of investment exceeds the interest rate. The positive correlation is not causal, not even close. Or should we read that as Total Net Assets, i.e. are you subtracting Debt from Total Assets? In that case, I am sure Debt/NetAssets is not constrained to lie in [0,1], since debt can certainly exceed assets less debt. Borjas, George J. ?The Relationship Between Wages and Weekly Hours of Work: The Role of Division Bias,? Journal of Human Resources, Summer 1980, pp. 409-423. On Wed, Jul 8, 2009 at 9:09 AM, Erasmo Giambona<e.giambona@gmail.com> wrote: > Dear Statalist, > > I have a panel dataset for a sample of publicly listed firms. > > I am fitting the following model using OLS: Debt/Total Assetsi = a + > b*ln_Total_Assets + control variables + firm dummies + year dummies + > ei. - where i is a subscript for firm i. > > The dependent variable is total Debt divided by Total Assets (both > expressed in millions), which is a ratio ranging between 0 and 1; > ln_Total_Assets is the natural logarithm of total assets. > > The output of the above regression shows that ln_Total_Asset is > statistically significant at the 1% level. This variable has also a > huge economic effect. In fact, a 1 standard deviation increase in > ln_Total Assets causes Debt/Total Assetsi to increase by 0.15 (while > its average is 0.202). > > Then, I run Debt/Total Assetsi = a + b*Total_Assets + control > variables + firm dummies + year dummies + ei. This model differs from > the above one only because I am not logging Total_Assets. In this > case, I find that Total Assets is still highly statistically > significant at the 1% level. However, its economic effect is > negligible. In fact, a 1 standard deviation increase in Total Assets > causes Debt/Total Assetsi to increase by 0.0002 (while its average is > 0.202). > > I can see that logging a variable can make a difference on its > economic effect. However, changing the economic effect from 0.15 to > 0.0002 seems really a big difference. Can somebody provide some hints > on why this might be happening? Is that an indicatio that there might > be something special about the structure of my data? > > I would really appreciate any suggestions. > > Thanks, > > Erasmo * * For searches and help try: * http://www.stata.com/help.cgi?search * http://www.stata.com/support/statalist/faq * http://www.ats.ucla.edu/stat/stata/ * * For searches and help try: * http://www.stata.com/help.cgi?search * http://www.stata.com/support/statalist/faq * http://www.ats.ucla.edu/stat/stata/

**References**:**st: Economic Significance and Logged Independent Variables***From:*Erasmo Giambona <e.giambona@gmail.com>

**Re: st: Economic Significance and Logged Independent Variables***From:*Austin Nichols <austinnichols@gmail.com>

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