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From |
"Carlo Lazzaro" <carlo.lazzaro@tin.it> |

To |
<statalist@hsphsun2.harvard.edu> |

Subject |
R: st: RE: Bootstrapping Conf Intervals - what do they mean? |

Date |
Wed, 4 Jun 2008 09:52:51 +0200 |

Dear Statalisters, just to add one more (hopefully useful) contribution to this interesting debate, I take the liberty to refer you to the following: O’Hagan A, Luce BR. A primer on Bayesian Statistics in Health Economics and Outcomes Research. Sheffield, UK – Bethesda, USA: MEDTAP International, 2003. The primer is downloadable free of charge from http://www.shef.ac.uk/chebs Kind Regards, Carlo -----Messaggio originale----- Da: owner-statalist@hsphsun2.harvard.edu [mailto:owner-statalist@hsphsun2.harvard.edu] Per conto di Maarten buis Inviato: martedě 3 giugno 2008 23.46 A: statalist@hsphsun2.harvard.edu Oggetto: Re: st: RE: Bootstrapping Conf Intervals - what do they mean? --- Salah Mahmud <salah.mahmud@gmail.com> wrote: > JV wrote: > "A 95% frequentist confidence interval says that 95% of such > intervals you gather will cover the true, fixed parameter" > > If I understood you correctly, u are saying if one would repeat the > experiment 10000 times, 95% of these experiments would result in a > confidence interval that covers the unknown population estimate. I > could be missing something, but that does not seem to say much about > the current confidence interval: the one calculated from this data. > How likely that THIS confidence interval covers the true estimate? There is no way of knowing (as long as you are not a Bayesian). You use a method that is right most of the time, and that is why you are confident, so the confidense refers to the confidense you have in the method rather then in the individual results. -- Maarten ----------------------------------------- Maarten L. Buis Department of Social Research Methodology Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam Boelelaan 1081 1081 HV Amsterdam The Netherlands visiting address: Buitenveldertselaan 3 (Metropolitan), room Z434 +31 20 5986715 http://home.fsw.vu.nl/m.buis/ ----------------------------------------- __________________________________________________________ Sent from Yahoo! Mail. A Smarter Email http://uk.docs.yahoo.com/nowyoucan.html * * For searches and help try: * http://www.stata.com/support/faqs/res/findit.html * http://www.stata.com/support/statalist/faq * http://www.ats.ucla.edu/stat/stata/ * * For searches and help try: * http://www.stata.com/support/faqs/res/findit.html * http://www.stata.com/support/statalist/faq * http://www.ats.ucla.edu/stat/stata/

**References**:**Re: st: RE: Bootstrapping Conf Intervals - what do they mean?***From:*Maarten buis <maartenbuis@yahoo.co.uk>

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