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From |
Maarten buis <maartenbuis@yahoo.co.uk> |

To |
statalist@hsphsun2.harvard.edu |

Subject |
Re: st: RE: Bootstrapping Conf Intervals - what do they mean? |

Date |
Tue, 3 Jun 2008 22:45:55 +0100 (BST) |

--- Salah Mahmud <salah.mahmud@gmail.com> wrote: > JV wrote: > "A 95% frequentist confidence interval says that 95% of such > intervals you gather will cover the true, fixed parameter" > > If I understood you correctly, u are saying if one would repeat the > experiment 10000 times, 95% of these experiments would result in a > confidence interval that covers the unknown population estimate. I > could be missing something, but that does not seem to say much about > the current confidence interval: the one calculated from this data. > How likely that THIS confidence interval covers the true estimate? There is no way of knowing (as long as you are not a Bayesian). You use a method that is right most of the time, and that is why you are confident, so the confidense refers to the confidense you have in the method rather then in the individual results. -- Maarten ----------------------------------------- Maarten L. Buis Department of Social Research Methodology Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam Boelelaan 1081 1081 HV Amsterdam The Netherlands visiting address: Buitenveldertselaan 3 (Metropolitan), room Z434 +31 20 5986715 http://home.fsw.vu.nl/m.buis/ ----------------------------------------- __________________________________________________________ Sent from Yahoo! Mail. A Smarter Email http://uk.docs.yahoo.com/nowyoucan.html * * For searches and help try: * http://www.stata.com/support/faqs/res/findit.html * http://www.stata.com/support/statalist/faq * http://www.ats.ucla.edu/stat/stata/

**Follow-Ups**:**R: st: RE: Bootstrapping Conf Intervals - what do they mean?***From:*"Carlo Lazzaro" <carlo.lazzaro@tin.it>

**RE: st: RE: Bootstrapping Conf Intervals - what do they mean?***From:*"Verkuilen, Jay" <JVerkuilen@gc.cuny.edu>

**References**:**Re: st: RE: Bootstrapping Conf Intervals - what do they mean?***From:*"Salah Mahmud" <salah.mahmud@gmail.com>

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