.- help for ^modlpr^ (STB-57: sts16) .- Estimate long memory in a timeseries via Modified Log-Periodogram Regression ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ^modlpr^ varname [^if^ exp] [^in^ range] [^, p^owers^(^numlist^)^ ^notrend^] ^modlpr^ is for use with time-series data. You must ^tsset^ your data before using ^modlpr^; see help @tsset@. Description ----------- ^modlpr^ computes a modified form of the Geweke/Porter-Hudak (GPH, 1983) estimate of the long memory (fractional integration) parameter, d, of a timeseries, proposed by Phillips (1999a, 1999b). If a series exhibits long memory, it is neither stationary (I[0]) nor is it a unit root (I{1}) process; it is an I(d) process, with d a real number. However, distinguishing unit-root behavior from fractional integration may be problematic, given that the GPH estimator is inconsistent against d>1 alternatives. This weakness of the GPH estimator (see ^gphudak^) is solved by Phillips' Modified Log Periodogram Regression estimator, in which the dependent variable is modified to reflect the distribution of d under the null hypothesis that d=1. The estimator gives rise to a test statistic for d=1, which is a standard normal variate under the null. Phillips suggests (p.11) that deterministic trends should be removed from the series before application of the estimator. By default, a linear trend is extracted from the series. This may be suppressed with the ^notrend^ option. A choice must be made of the number of harmonic ordinates to be included in the spectral regression. The regression slope estimate is an estimate of the slope of the series' power spectrum in the vicinity of the zero frequency; if too few ordinates are included, the slope is calculated from a small sample. If too many are included, medium and high-frequency components of the spectrum will contaminate the estimate. A choice of root(T), or power = 0.5, is often employed. To evaluate the robustness of the estimates, a range of power values (from 0.4 - 0.75) is commonly calculated as well. ^modlpr^ uses the default power of 0.5. A list of powers may be given. The command displays the d estimate, number of ordinates, conventional standard error and P-value, as well as the test statistic (^zd^) for the test of d=1, and its p-value. These values are returned in a matrix, e(modlpr), formatted for display. ^estimates list^ for details. Examples -------- . ^use http://fmwww.bc.edu/ec-p/data/Mills2d/fta.dta^ . ^modlpr ftap^ . ^modlpr ftap, power( 0.5 0.55:0.8)^ References ---------- Geweke, J. and Porter-Hudak, S., The Estimation and Application of Long Memory Time Series Models, J. of Time Series Analysis, 1983, 221-238. Phillips, Peter C.B., Discrete Fourier Transforms of Fractional Processes, 1999a. Unpublished working paper No. 1243, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University. http://cowles.econ.yale.edu/P/cd/d12a/d1243.pdf Phillips, Peter C.B., Unit Root Log Periodogram Regression, 1999b. Unpublished working paper No. 1244, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University. http://cowles.econ.yale.edu/P/cd/d12a/d1244.pdf Authors ------- Christopher F Baum, Boston College, USA baum@@bc.edu Vince Wiggins, Stata Corporation vwiggins@@stata.com Also see -------- Manual: ^[R] regress^ On-line: help for @regress@, @time@, @tsset@; @ac@; @corrgram@; @gphudak@ (if installed); @roblpr@ (if installed)