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Re: st: RE: constructing standard errors for the product of two estimates


From   Stas Kolenikov <[email protected]>
To   [email protected]
Subject   Re: st: RE: constructing standard errors for the product of two estimates
Date   Tue, 6 Dec 2005 09:39:09 -0600

Well in general you would apply the delta method to derive the
variance in question:

g(a,b) = a*b

\partial g over \partial a = b, \partial g over \partial b = a,

so the variance (or rather MSE) in question is

E( g(a,b) - g(Ea,Eb) )^2 asymptotically = (Eb, Ea) Cov(a,b) (Eb, Ea)^T

It does not have the term V(a)*V(b) from Jann's and Marcello's demonstration

Var(ab) = [E(a)]^2 * Var(b) + [E(b)]^2 * Var(a) + Var(a)*Var(b)

as that term will be of order 1/n^2 asymptotically, which is an order
of magnitude smaller than Cov(a,b) matrix that is of order 1/n.

--
Stas Kolenikov
http://stas.kolenikov.name

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